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Mover Mike

Mike is a retired stock broker, and now supports his wife's furniture business. He is her warehouseman, deluxer, and marketing guru. In addition, he writes poetry and finds abundance, health and joy in the world around him while pondering life's little mysteries

Sunday, September 30, 2007

"There Are No Gays In Iran"
SNL mocks Mahmoud Ahmadinejad:

Amazon.com Clarified
Hat tip to Captain's Quarters for mentioning Amazon.com. One feature of Mover Mike is to review books on a irregular basis that I chose in my surfing and shopping. I even receive free books to read as part of some publisher's marketing campaign, hoping to create buzz over an extended period of time. I'll tell you if I like or don't like the book. As a blogger I also get to interview some authors, and I always include a link to their books.

On my sidebar Amazon advertises books that fit with my blogging topics and I have a small spot for Mover Mike's Recommendations with links back to Amazon. I participate in the Amazon Associates program, which pays me a small percentage of the sale price on every book sold through this blog. In fact, that's true for any purchase made at Amazon resulting from a Mover Mike referral, so I have included a search widget on the page that will allow readers to find and purchase whatever they want through this site. It doesn't add cost to the products, and it gives me a small revenue stream with which I can support the site.

If you're going to shop at Amazon for anything, I'd appreciate it if you start your search here and help support the site.

Update:

Saturday, September 29, 2007

Halftime: Oregon 10, Cal 3
Go Ducks!

Good defensive battle so far. Cal is offensively scary and Dixon of Oregon was a little off in his passing for 3/4 of first half, but he looks like he's settling down.

Update:

Tedford Rules for the first time in Eugene in 20 years! Final Cal 34, Oregon 27.

Beavers, my poor Beavers, go down to UCLA 40 to 14

PSU wins 28 to 21 over Eastern Washington.

Friday, September 28, 2007

Storm Large Does Cabaret
Hey all you Storm Large fans, me included, it's been over a month since we've read anything about our girl, the high school fantasy we couldn't bring home to mother.

You thirst for news and The Oregonian's A&E has it. Read what Grant Butler writes:

It's time for Storm Large to sing her big first-act number in "Cabaret," and she slinks up to the old-fashioned microphone and grabs the stand with the certainty of someone who's made this move thousands of times.

"Maybe this time," she sings in a near whisper, "I'll be lucky. Maybe this time, he'll stay."

As the power ballad builds, Storm's voice moves from timid to totally in command, her body leaning into the microphone, caressing the stand with a lover's touch. A knee juts in and she leans back, enveloped in lyrics that are at once passionate and vulnerable. When she gets to the optimistic climax — "Something's bound to begin!" — the air of the Armory's third-floor rehearsal hall crackles with electricity.

I have to pause here to get my old heart back to a runner's pace.
When you watch a seasoned rock singer like Storm perform in a nightclub, you're helplessly pulled into the music because the connection between audience and performer is so strong. Since much of "Cabaret" also is in a club setting, the duo hope to blur the lines between musicals and nightlife.
Cabaret When: 7:30 p.m. Friday, continues various times through Nov. 4.

Where: Gerding Theater at the Armory, 128 N.W. 11th Ave.

Tickets: $30-$61.50 adults, $23.50 students (excluding Friday-Saturday evenings), $18.50 for 18 and under with I.D. Rush tickets available at box office 15 minutes before some shows, $10 cash. 503-445-3700, www.pcs.org.

Note: Pre-performance discussions 6:30 p.m. Tuesdays-Thursdays, Oct. 2-11. Oct. 5 evening performance will be audio described. Oct. 11 evening performance will be sign interpreted.

Two Maupin Quakes
map 1.0 2007/09/28 05:13:52 45.128N 120.924W 15.5 13 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

map 1.3 2007/09/27 20:42:28 45.128N 120.936W 18.7 13 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

Renters left hanging after foreclosures

California renters having problems with landlords that go bust.

Tryphorgetin from DNC Pharmaceuticals

I know it will make some of you laugh. It did me!

Courtesy of To The Point Weekly Report's Humor file.

Greenbacks!
Forgive my naivete here, but I'm reading Web of Debt, and I have a question. The U.S. Government Treasury Dept., when it needs money, prints up $100 million of bonds that pay interest and takes those bonds to the Federal Reserve which is a cartel owned by banks.


Federal Reserve headquarters

The FED then prints $100 Million dollars or creates $100 Million out of thin air, and credits the U.S Government's bank account. Our interest bill each year on the national debt is about $500 Billion. So here's my question. Why don't we just cut out the middleman and create the dollars ourselves interest free? We would sure save a lot of money!

Update:

Sen. Hillary Clinton Buying Votes!
Hat tip to the Drudge Report, Sen. Hillary Clinton wants to give each new born in the U.S. a gift of $5,000. There are approximately 4,000,000 babies born each year, $5,000 X 4,000,000 = $20 Billion a year, yet the U.S.'s smartest woman "...did not offer any estimate of the total cost of such a program or how she would pay for it." Or where she's going to get the money.

I have several questions:

How did she settle on that figure of $5,000?
That seems kind of puny compared to college costs of $100,000 in todays dollars.

Second, will the government invest the money for us or will it be invested like Social Security is invested?

Third, will the money be tax-free or will we have to pay gift taxes on the money?

Fourth, Why are the kids of the U.S. to be the only beneficiaries?
Libs are always worrying about the rest of the world. Wouldn't that put us at a decided advantage over the poor ibn other countries who can't afford college? After all, in Portland, Oregon we long ago said kids in smaller school districts or poorer neighborhoods have a disadvantage and should be supported by the richer districts. Portland currently sends $100 Million of our tax dollars out of the district to the disadvantaged school districts, each year.

Fifth, if she gives a student $5,000 and it is invested at 7% for 18 years, the student will have $16,900, not enough for college. How about 10%? $27,800! Suppose we are a Hedge and get 25%? $277,556! Now we are getting somewhere. Surely the smartest woman in the U.S. can show us how to get 25% annual return. Look what she did in commodities.

Sixth, Here's my suggestion, give me $5,000 in year one and then require me to invest $25 each month in myself until I retire. Assumming a 7.5% return, I could have $1 Million on which to retire. That could be my social security. Better yet why not just let me invest my own Social Security?

Seven, Do you seriously believe the U.S. could keep their hands off the funds of 4,000,000 babies a year piling up huge savings?
Pretty soon some enterprising politician would come along with ideas like Sen. Hillary Clinton on how to spend our money.

Update:

Captain's Quarters - Clinton: Let's Add A $20 Billion Entitlement

Philip Klein - Hillary's Baby Bucks

Slublog - Yay! Free Money!

Political Derby.com - Hillary is attempting to buy votes…with YOUR money!

Billy Jack's Blog

Notice, she left out two major components of this idea. The first is that before a child could access this money at age 18, he/she must serve at least a year in the military.
CRAWFISH NOTE:
Giving? The gov-ment makes no money, its collects it. From whose paycheck is this coming? Why not let people invest 25% of their Social Security payroll deductions? Oh, the gov-ment must be the Sugar Daddy, it must always be the socialistic approach. You are a dufus. Cost? Who “cares”? We only “care” when use knuckledragging voters want any little tax relief.
What kind of secular socialist vote-buying paradise is this cowardly nutcase proposing? There is no free lunch. democrats love to create dependency and grow the gov-ment for votes. How many feds and buildings and forms will this intrusion into families take? Hey, why not simply triple the tax deduction for kids and let families decide? Why not remove the death tax, the dividend tax and lower the income tax 5%? Socialism is as socialism does. There is no free lunch.
Slackerwire -
Britain launched a similar program in January 2005, handing out vouchers worth hundreds of dollars each to parents with children born after Sept. 1, 2002.

Earlier this month, Time magazine proposed a $5,000 baby bond program.

Thursday, September 27, 2007

Hurricane Lorenzo To Make Landfall Overnight
Hurricane Lorenzo may make landfall as a category 2. Currently maximum sustained winds are 80 mph.

Along the Mexican Coast, hurricane warnigs are in effect from Cabo Rojo to Palma Sola. A tropical storm warning is in effect from Palma Sola to Veracruz, and a tropical storm watch is in effect from La Cruz to Cabo Rojo.
Expect 15 inches of rain on the coast of Mexico.

How very sad!
From this reported by Asia Exile:


Posted by Richard Lloyd Parry on September 25, 2007 in Burma ,

To this:


(AP) In this photo made available by the Mandalay Gazette, blood soaked sandals are shown on a street following a shooting by soldiers during a protest in downtown Yangon, Myanmar, September 27, 2007.

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Syria Isn't Sleeping At Night!
As reported at Free Republic, Dr. Jack Wheeler has commented on the Israeli air strike on Syria. That air strike has made the Iranis super sensitive to any information about a possible U.S. or Joint U.S./Israel strike on nuclear sites in Iran. What is curious is that Syria has been so quiet to the apparent act of war.
Syria has gone on a profligate buying spree, spending vast sums on Russian systems, "considered the cutting edge in aircraft interception technology."

Syria now "possesses the most crowded antiaircraft system in the world," with "more than 200 antiaircraft batteries of different types," some of which are so new that they have been installed in Syria "before being introduced into Russian operation service."

Notice how far away from Israel is Dayr az-Zawr, where the attack took place?

The systems (that cost so much Syrian money) didn't even light up, gave no indication whatever of any detection of enemy aircraft invading Syrian airspace, zip, zero, nada. The Israelis (with a little techie assistance from us) blinded the Russkie antiaircraft systems so completely the Syrians didn't even know they were blinded.
That's gotta keep some people awake at night over there!

Update:

Do these charts look familiar?

To me they look like charts of mortgage brokers that bit the dust. In Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis, they are singled out as the three with the highest risk of default.

NY Times Loves Portland
The NY Times has fallen in love with Portland, Oregon. The article, In Portland, a Golden Age of Dining and Drinking, is the latest.
This is a golden age of dining and drinking in a city that 15 years ago was about as cutting edge as a tomato in January. Every little neighborhood in this city of funky neighborhoods now seems to be exploding with restaurants, food shops and markets, all benefiting from a critical mass of passion, skill and experience, and all constructed according to the gospel of locally grown ingredients.

In close proximity is a cadre of farmers committed to growing environmentally responsible produce with maximum flavor, delivered to restaurants and to the gorgeous farmers’ markets that dot the city. There are local fisheries and small beef, lamb and pork producers. Not far away is the Hood River Valley, with its myriad fruit growers who supply glistening, fragile berries and stonefruits of every stripe and color.

The article singles out Pok Pok, Paley’s Place, Le Pigeon, Ken’s Artisan Bakery and Ken’s Artisan Pizza, Carafe, and Clyde Common. Also, included is a slide show.

While on the subject of restaurants, Sunday night Bev and I dined with some Madison High School friends at fenouil.

The dinner was a special event, $41 per person, wine included, that featured what I would call southern soul food or French Creole. We started with a dish of pickled shrimp, very tasty; followed by crab cakes with a kind of cole slaw topping: hoe cakes, a kind of cornbread pancake with apple sauce; pork tenderloin with collard greens. My first collard greens and they were good with the pork. Then deep fried okra, not so good! Then came a dish of shrimp and grits, again my first try of grits (and okra). I haven't missed anything all these years. After a very leisurely dinner with abundant conversation, dessert of pecan pie. (Waiter there's too much pepper in my paprikash, but I would be proud to partake of your pecan pie.)

The Madison High group gets together once a month to taste foods an eastside boy never tasted. We volunteered to be an alternate, we liked the experience so much.

Monday, September 24, 2007

Prostate Cancer Update
As you know, I had a prostatectomy on July 10th for prostate cancer. Today, I received the results from my PSA test. If it were positive for cancer, I would have to undergo radiation treatment. That kind of treatment has risks, incontinence and it can have an negative effect on tissue in the pelvic area.

My doctor, Michael Lipke, burst into the exam room with a big smile and the words we wanted to hear. "There is no cancer!" The PSA test was 0.05 or negligible. Bev and I jumped up and down and hugged and shook Dr. Lipke's hand and said, "Good job!" The next follow-up is in six months. The most important thing any of us has is our health. Thank you God and all of you for your prayers.

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Oregon Quakes
Here's the latest quake near Maupin. In addition, at 11:22 PM, Sunday, I think we just had a slight quake here in Portland. My computer monitor jiggled for about two or three seconds and as I sat there, I felt a little queasy.

map 1.4 2007/09/23 19:43:08 45.119N 120.933W 5.8 13 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

UPDATE: A 3.2 just hit at 11:20 near Brooks Oregon!

MAP 3.2 2007/09/24 06:20:54 45.107 -123.044 29.5 9 km ( 6 mi) NW of Brooks, OR

Update:

For Lack Of A ">"

For those of you using IE, you have experienced Mover Mike with the side bar shifted to the right covering part of the column. I found the problem, I failed to close a tag with ">" and IE does not like that. When I view Mover Mike now on IE, it looks absolutely great again. Sorry for the interruption.

Obama And His Tax Plan
Sen. Barack Hussein Obama touches the third rail of politics by suggesting we solve the social security problem by subjecting income of those earning more than $97,000 to a 12.4 percent tax. I don't care if you tax the rich. I'm not one of them, But...when is enough, enough? You can see from this graphic that that the top 50% income earning families make 85.8% of the income, yet pay 96.5% of the taxes.

Obama also, would

...eliminate income taxes for about 7 million seniors making less than $50,000 a year. Twenty-two million more won’t even have to file a return, which also means they won’t have to hire an expensive accountant.
Big whoop! The bottom 50% only pay 3.5% of the taxes. His recommendation doesn't cost the government much money.

We could double the tax rates on those making over $188,000, but the politicians would just spend the money and come back for more. Would doubling of the tax bite on the rich help anybody create jobs? The incentive to earn big bucks provides jobs.

I will see my Veternarian Tuesday. This group of Vets just remodeled their offices, employ ten to twelve nurses and receptionists, pay property taxes and must pay their overhead for a reason. They have an incentive. They want to enjoy the perks of the top 20% of earners. Obama would sure take the fun out of the quest.

How Much Do They Families Make In the U.S.?

Average Pre-Tax Family Income (in 1995 US Dollars)

Income Category 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1999
(Projected)
Highest 20% $94,300 $98,300 $95,900 $99,500 $109,000 $113,000 $118,000 $111,000 $114,000 $120,000 $132,000
Fourth 20% $49,300 $50,400 $48,400 $48,000 $49,600 $51,100 $50,900 $49,300 $49,000 $49,600 $53,000
Middle 20% $36,400 $36,200 $34,600 $32,800 $34,200 $34,900 $35,000 $33,600 $32,300 $33,300 $35,400
Second 20% $23,700 $23,200 $21,700 $19,800 $21,300 $21,600 $21,400 $20,600 $19,600 $20,100 $21,200
Lowest 20% $10,000 $9,600 $8,900 $8,100 $8,700 $8,700 $9,000 $8,400 $7,800 $8,100 $8,400
All Families $42,900 $43,500 $42,000 $42,000 $44,500 $45,800 $46,800 $44,600 $44,100 $45,700 $49,500
Top 1% $356,000 $389,000 $367,000 $435,000 $524,000 $544,000 $635,000 $547,000 $584,000 $660,000 $719,000
Top 5% $166,000 $179,000 $168,000 $182,000 $207,000 $216,000 $236,000 $217,000 $225,000 $244,000 $276,000
Top 10% $125,000 $130,000 $125,000 $132,000 $148,000 $153,000 $166,000 $153,000 $158,000 $168,000 $188,000
Source: Congressional Budget Office, "Preliminary Estimates of Effective Tax Rates" (September 7, 1999) http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=1545&from=4&sequence=0

If you study the table one big thing pops out. The top 20% are earning about 50% more on average than they were in 1977. The rest of us (80%) have seen our income flat to down. Now maybe people are migrating up from one level to the next, but it sure seems like it takes more and more money today to buy the same things we bought ten years ago.

I do not think it is morally right to put our spending burden on the small percent we consider rich, or the burden on the smokers for childrens' healthcare. I think politicians should spend more time thinking about ways to get the average income up for the 80%.

Alan Greenspan Blows!
I rail against the FED because essentially it is arrogant and elitist to think that men, with all their tinkering and pseudo-knowledge, can know better than the market. Who in his right mind can allow himself to think he knows what interest rates should be, or how much to increase or decrease the money supply, or decide what price to charge, or even determine what is too high a profit margin?

Listen to the windbag, Alan Greenspan, he admits he doesn't know either:

Hat Tip to Mike Shedlock

Update:

The Vigilant Investor does a particularly good job rebuting Greenspan.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Alan Greenspan Blows!
  2. Web of Debt
  3. The Next Bubble
Jim Ogonowski for Congress (MA-5)
A stunning upset is brewing in Massachusetts. Republican candidate Jim Ogonowski is within 10 points of his entrenched Democrat opponent for the special election in the 5th congressional district on October 16th. Join your favorite bloggers in a grassroots contribution drive to raise Jim's profile and stun the media with a GOP upset in the land of Kennedy and Kerry.

Massachusetts has not sent a Republican to Congress in more than a decade. It's time to make the change! The Democrats' actions demand it.

Update:

Hat Tip to Patrick Ruffini

Saturday, September 22, 2007

Emergency Home Ownership and Mortgage Equity Protection Act (H.R. 3608)
The Mortgage Lender Implode-O-Meter reports that Reps. Brad Miller (D-NC) and Linda Sánchez (D-CA) have introduced a bill in the House,
Called the Emergency Home Ownership and Mortgage Equity Protection Act (H.R. 3608), the bill would make it possible for a bankruptcy court to restructure a home mortgage — meaning a bankruptcy judge could change interest rates or alter principal amounts as part of a Chapter 13 restructuring plan.
Bottom line, you get into trouble with one of those sub-prime loans and are forced into bankruptcy, the judge can restructure the loan. If you had a 1% loan and were able to make the payments prior to bankruptcy, what would prevent the judge from changing the loan to a 60-year loan? That would certainly mess up buyers of mortgages and Implode-O-Meter is right, new originated loans would have higher interest rates to compensate for the added time risk.

Friday, September 21, 2007

Sen. Hillary Clinton Is Not A Lesbian
Sean Kennedy, of The Advocate, the gay magazine's news and features editor asks Sen. Hillary Clinton:
"How do you respond to the occasional rumor that you're a lesbian?"

Sen. Clinton:

"People say a lot of things about me, so I really don't pay any attention to it,"

"It's not true, but it is something that I have no control over. People will say what they want to say."

Sen. Clinton has had many years to frame an answer to Kennedy's question. She is so smart that she may have anticipated the question being asked by The Advocate. If I were to parse her last sentence, I would say, never believe anything until it is officially denied. The word "but" makes the first part of the sentence false. The second part of the sentence, assuming for a moment that she is a lesbian, is true: "it is something that I have no control over."

It all depends on what the meaning of "it" is.

Who cares? It is too bad that people can't be "straight" about their sexual orientation.

Thursday, September 20, 2007

93L: Tropical Storm Jerry???
An area of low pressure that lingered along the Florida coast for several days finally entered the Gulf of Mexico Thursday morning — prompting local officials to more readily monitor weather reports.

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog writes:

Since landfall is expected Saturday between the Florida Panhandle and Southeast Louisiana, 93L probably does not have time to become fully tropical. If 93L makes landfall Saturday, it should not have winds stronger than about 55 mph. The GFDL, HWRF, and SHIPS intensity models all keep 93L's winds below 55 mph. If the storm spends an extra day over water and makes it to Texas, as the ECMWF model predicts, 93L could become fully tropical and make landfall as a strong tropical storm with 60-70 mph winds. However, there is plenty of dry air in the environment, and I don't think the storm will be able to intensify to a strong tropical storm.

Update:

From Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog
Storms that start off as large, non-tropical systems like 93L typically take several days to organize and become fully tropical, and 93L will not have time to become anything worse than a minimal tropical storm. The storm is capable of dumping some heavy rains along its path--radar estimated precipitation from the Tallahassee radar (Figure 1) were as high as three inches. As 93L becomes more tropical in nature, it will be able to generate higher rain amounts. But, with the storm expected to move inland by Saturday afternoon, it does not appear 93L has time to generate the kind of tropical rains that would make it a serious flood threat.
SuperTyphoon, Wipha A Category 5
Super Typhoon Wipha broke records just set on Ishigaki Island.
Super Typhoon Wipha roared across Okinawa Prefecture Tuesday, packing record winds of 70 meters per second (156.6 miles per hour), eclipsing Nari’s record breaking bluster of 62.8 m/s (140.5 mph) last week.

[...]

Nari dumped more than 120mm (6”) of rain, including 45mm (1.8”) in a single hour.
Super Typhoon Wipha produced even more rainfall, 300mm (11.8”) on Ishigaki Island, and 250mm (9.8”) on Miyakojima. Weather observers issued flood warnings, and government agencies added landslide warnings for the islands.


A child walks in water-soaked street at a residential community in Rui'an city, east China's Zhejiang Province, Aug. 19, 2007. Typhoon Wipha packing winds of 45 meters per second landed east China's Zhejiang Province early Wednesday and moved northwestward. (Xinhua/Huang Shengang)
Almost 2 million people were evacuated before Wipha struck, the largest mass evacuation in the history of the province.

Update:

Hurricane Ivo
In 2006, every time it looked like Cabo San Lucas was going to take a direct hit from a hurricane, at the last moment the hurricane veered off and Cabo was unscathed. This year the resort area isn't so lucky. In early September Henriette slammed Cabo. Now Hurricane Ivo last night was bearing straight for Cabo, but tonight it appears to be going in farther north:

Residents of the Mexico's Baja peninsula and surrounding areas are advised to stay tuned to hurricane advisories as this tropical storm was upgraded to hurricane yesterday. With a projected path towards the north-northwest, this storm is going to be tough to predict. While ocean waters are warm enough to sustain the storm, relatively stable air in the north may make this storm die down before it gathers strength. Landfall could occur on Sunday or Monday.
Update:

Accredited and Lone Star Announce Amended Merger Agreement
Accredited Home Lenders Holding Co. (LEND) avoids insolvency with the new offer from Lone Star by accepting $11.75 per share down from the June 4th offer of $15.10.
In addition, Lone Star has agreed to provide to Accredited financing of $49 million, approximately $34 million of which will be applied to extinguish outstanding debt from one of the Company's creditors, leaving approximately $15 million of additional liquidity for the Company.

Maupin Quakes
Michael who lives in the Maupin area says the The Humane Society of Central Oregon has 39 dogs that have wandered in hungry. We are on the lookout for a large quake in the Maupin-Bend area.

map 1.5 2007/09/20 12:45:16 46.937N 119.460W 0.0 13 km ( 8 mi) ENE of Royal City, WA

map 1.7 2007/09/19 23:49:52 45.123N 120.939W 17.0 13 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

map 1.2 2007/09/19 08:47:18 45.125N 120.922W 16.2 14 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

Update:

That 120 degree longitude continues very active. Here are another three quakes:

map 1.1 2007/09/20 18:55:04 47.453N 119.088W 1.8 4 km ( 3 mi) NE of Wilson Creek, WA

map 1.1 2007/09/20 15:28:08 46.144N 119.660W 9.7 11 km ( 7 mi) SE of Prosser, WA

map 1.1 2007/09/20 15:23:14 46.112N 119.626W 6.8 15 km ( 9 mi) SE of Prosser, WA

And one in Molalla:

map 1.3 2007/09/20 13:48:47 45.091N 122.607W 6.9 7 km ( 4 mi) SSW of Molalla, OR

My GT5481E!
I'm back. My 5-year old Gateway computer bought the farm, expired, it is dead, not making a sound, just froze up. I awoke Tuesday morning to a computer that had passed on in the night. I had GeeksAKnockin out to look at the corpse, as it turned out and one 512 slot had perished. These guys are great. They arrived promptly, weren't outrageously priced, and did their job. They were not able to do a resurrection, however. I went to Costco and purchased another Gateway, a GT5481E, with an
  1. Intel Pentium Dual-Core processor E2160
  2. 1 gig of RAM, soon to be boosted to 2 gig
  3. 6-channel HD Audio
  4. Microsoft Windows Vista
  5. 19-inch LCD Flat Screen Monitor
  6. 250 GB Harddrive
  7. An Optical Drive
If you remember Tim the Tool man you can hear me go Ooof!, Ooof!, Ooof! It's all black and it is Sweeeeet.

So now it's back to the blogging wars.

Monday, September 17, 2007

Blogs For Borders Video Blogburst
FBI cover ups and scandal at the border! We investigate.

100% Preventable! And this week every one had been deported previously.

Amnesty alert! Congress seeking to pass an amnesty...again!

Make sure to vote for us in the Blogger's Choice Awards!

After next weeks show we will be taking a five week hiatus to revamp and improve the show. Please make sure to let us know what you're liking and what you ain't!

NumbersUSA has the goods on stopping the latest amnesty debacle.

This has been the Blogs For Borders Video Blogburst. The Blogs For Borders Blogroll is dedicated to American sovereignty, border security and a sane immigration policy. If you'd like to join find out how right here.

Technorati Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Tiny Bubbles

The Daily Mail reports on the shoreline north of Sydney where foam swallowed an entire beach and half the nearby buildings.

Two Maupin Quakes
map 1.8 2007/09/17 00:46:55 45.127N 120.926W 16.6 13 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

map 1.0 2007/09/16 09:08:59 45.130N 120.921W 16.2 14 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

These two quakes are on each side of Bakeoven creek and within an 1/8th of a mile of each other.

Typhoon Wipha
The China Post reports:
Government offices, schools, and financial institutions in several counties and cities in northern Taiwan, including the capital Taipei, will be closed today due to the arrival of Typhoon Wipha.

Packing winds of 140 miles per hour, the typhoon will cut through the northern parts of the island before moving into the Taiwan Strait on way to southeastern China.

Wipha is the 13th Category 4 or Category 5 storms recorded this year around the world.

Update:

About 200,000 people living in exposed areas in Shanghai, a city of 14 million people, would be moved to temporary shelters before evening when Typhoon Wipha is expected to make landfall after swiping the island of Taiwan with maximum sustained winds of up to 250km/h (156 mph).

Saturday, September 15, 2007

Happy Birthday, Beverly

We are out of here for Saturday and most of Sunday to celebrate my bride's birthday. 57 today and I'd say she looks as good as ever! The Manzanita beach beckons. See you Sunday night.

Typhoon Nari blows through Okinawa
Japan Update reports:
Packing the strongest winds ever recorded, Typhoon Nari pounded Kumejima late Friday night and early Saturday before moving across Okinawa’s main island wreaking even more havoc. Kumejima Town registered wind speeds of 52.4 meters per second (118mph) beginning at 11 p.m., then buffeted the island with record breaking speeds of 62.8m/s (140mph) about 1:30 a.m.

[...]

Some 400 tourists were stranded...after the airport was closed. A tourist visiting from Nago was distraught over the situation. “I tried to make a new reservation but they say it will be three days before I can get an airplane. I can’t wait three days,” he said, “because I am supposed to be back today.”

Another tourist complained “I’ve never had this kind of problem before. The typhoon was none of my business.”

See track here

Thursday, September 13, 2007

M.E.R.C Recommends Convention Center Hotel
Reporting in The Oregonian business section:
The Metropolitan Exposition Recreation Commission - a subsidiary of Metro, Portland's regional government - endorsed public financing on Wednesday for a 600-room hotel to recruit more out-of-towners to the Oregon Convention Center.

The proposal calls for Metro to take out bonds to finance the construction, then pay back the debt over 30 years with revenues from the hotel. Recently updated estimates pegged the hotel's total cost at $244 million to build and finance. The hotel's revenues wouldn't be enough to cover the debt payments and would require ongoing taxpayer subsidies, Metro attorney Daniel B. Cooper said this week.

From the January, 2001 evaluation
Under these assumptions,neither the 600-room nor the 800-room hotels is able to support its full development cost let alone its land cost during weak market conditions. Including the burder of carrying an assumed and cost of $55 per square foot, the feasibility gap is in the vicinity of $20 Million for the smaller hotel and $27 Million for the larger hotel. If the parking must be placed underground the gap would grow to an even higher number
I swear this project was budgeted at $224 Million dollars, but it is very hard to find the cost of this project only the benefits.

Back in 2003, The Portland Tribune had a novel idea, why not convert the Coliseum to a hotel:

The hotel is feasible because the city owns the land, building and parking, which it need not finance; improvements can be financed with tax-exempt revenue bonds, and no new taxes or subsidies are required.
No these M.E.R.C guys want to take out bondss to finance the construction knowing the hotels revenues won't be enough to cover principal and interest. Meaning tax payers will have to come up with the difference. An open-ended committment!

Update:

Hurricane Humberto!
Tropical storm Humberto strengthened just before making landfall to Hurricane Humberto with max sustained winds of 85 mph.
The hurry-up hurricane brought 16 inches of rain to the Bolivar Peninsula in Galveston County just before landfall about 5 miles east of High Island, the National Weather Service reported.

[...]

In Beaumont at 5 a.m., water was knee-deep in some streets in Old Town, road underpasses were flooded and trees and power lines were reported down throughout the city.

[...]

...some of whose residents still are recovering from Hurricane Rita damage.

Ron Franscell, resident of Beaumont and author of FALL: The Rape and Murder of Innocence in a Small Town, wrote to me that:
The lingering effects of Rita are physical, economic and mental. Just this week we reported a 100-person layoff at a local hospital, largely attributed to a decline in insured patients since Rita (2005.) Many common troubles in the marketplace are being attributed to Rita, even when there's little real reason to think the hurricane caused the problems.

Still, we have a troublesome number of people living in FEMA trailers ... to the point where the city fathers are uncomfortable with the length of time these people have postponed repairs to their regular homes. One still sees pockets of unrepaired Rita damage, but most neighborhoods and business districts have repaired fully.

Let's pray that Humberto was gentle with Beaumont.

Wednesday, September 12, 2007

Another Butt Kicking, Please!
Bill Murphy at Le Metropole Cafe has been pounding the table on this story for ten years and the MSM wouldn't touch it. Barrons is finally breaking the story!

In A Secret Time Bomb Made of Gold, Michael Kahn writes about the "Gold Carry Trade.

"The gold carry trade is similar to the yen carry trade, which has been a hot topic in the markets this year. Basically, money is borrowed from one source at a low interest rate and invested elsewhere at a higher rate. As long as relevant exchange rates and asset prices remain stable, a profit is made with little effort.

Central banks are sitting on huge supplies of gold that earn them no interest and cost them money just to store securely. To earn a little revenue on these static assets, they loan their gold to banks, called buillon banks, at a ridiculously low interest rate on the order of 1%.

Kahn has an error in tense, that's why I emphasized the word "are". For ten years the demand for gold has outstripped the supply of gold from mining and scrap by 1,500 tons per year. The central banks, whether to earn a little interest on Gold, a "dead" asset, because that's what they want you to believe, or to keep the price down and letting the world know about monetary inflation, met the supply deficit by loaning Gold. The central banks were sitting on a pile of gold, 30,000 tons, but more than half is loaned out. The bullion banks borrowed the Gold and sold it and invested the proceeds. Maybe they invested the money in Treasuries or maybe to get a little bit extra yield, some of those fancy CDOs, or sub-prime loans. And maybe to get a little better interest they leveraged the whole darn thing.
The problem is that if the gold price starts to rise, profits can be wiped out or turned to losses. And in today's market, a falling dollar not only boosts gold prices but it also makes Treasury bonds less attractive to foreign investors. That reduces demand and weakens prices to create a potential double-edged sword for carry traders.
Keep in mind, Gold has been out of favor for 25 years. Maybe the buillon banks hedged their positions by buying gold futures, but I'm guessing not all did, because hedging costs money.

Well now, Gold has risen from $250 to over $700 since 2001. Do you realize that in Gold's trading history, in USD, Gold has closed over $700 only six times in 26 years! Four were in May 2006 and now 2 are in 2007.

If central banks call in their gold loans, the banks cannot wait for contract expiration to take delivery on the gold they purchased via their futures contracts.
They are essentially hugely short and the only place to get the gold is the open market. And that sends Gold to the moon.

Here's the 3 1/2 year chart of Gold. Any hedge fund and trader who's getting his butt kicked in the sub-prime market is going to look for some way to get back in the game. Gold is outperforming the Euro and the USD and is beating many stock markets. Open interest in gold futures, which measures the current size of bets made by futures traders, is 34% lower than it was last year when Gold traded at $700. This is looking like some buillon banks are going to get their butts kicked some more!

Two Maupin Quakes
map 1.0 2007/09/11 20:02:35 45.115N 120.912W 16.1 15 km ( 9 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

map 1.1 2007/09/11 17:15:16 45.128N 120.938W 15.7 12 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

Oil A Whiff Away From $80!
I got an email recently on June 25th from Ron Griess of The Chart Store.

Hey Mover Mike,

Remember our email exchange from a couple of years ago?

I'm still waiting for $100 oil.

In fact, I would be willing to wager that we see $50 before breaking to a new high.

The commodity "bubble" is in its final stages, as is the U.S. Stock Market.

Ron Griess
The Chart Store

Well, looky here, Ron, crude just took out its old high of $77.95 per barrel and is trying to hit $80! The high today was $79.94. Ron wrote back in April of 2005
The target of $105 seems to us to be outlandish. Yes, commodity prices do spike up and down, and often in very short time periods. Without a major, negative news event, we feel a target of $105 should be summarily dismissed
So, we haven't reached $100 yet, but we are a lot closer than to the $40 NewsMax predicted and the $50 Ron wanted to bet on less than three months ago. If you want to stay in USDs be my guest, but the currency is sinking and is reflected in higher prices for commodities. I think I'm doing you more of a favor than Ron Griess or the talking heads you may see on CNBC.

Update:

Tropical Depression Nine Tropical Storm Humberto
FLASH: 12:45pm CDT Update:Tropical Depression Nine has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Humberto with 45 mph winds.

Galveston seems to be the target of the latest gulf storm. TD nine is expected to make landfall The depression is expected to become a Tropical Storm before making landfall tonight. Currently max sustained winds are 35 mph.

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog writes:

Since this system is very slow moving, it has the potential to drop rain amounts in excess of ten inches along the Texas and Louisiana coasts--including the Houston metropolitan area--over the next two days. These rains may cause serious widespread flooding. Rainfall amounts of 2-3 inches have already occurred along the coast, from Freeport to the Louisiana border.
Dr. Masters also notes that
A strong tropical wave near 12.5N 44W, 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands, is headed west-northwest at 10 mph. This system (91L) may develop into a tropical depression today, and has the potential to become a large and dangerous major hurricane next week.
Stay tuned this is general the peak time of year for hurricanes.

Update:

Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog:
Since Humberto is slow moving, it has the potential to drop rain amounts in excess of ten inches along the Texas and Louisiana coasts over the next two days. It now appears that the Houston area will escape the worst of these rains, which will be concentrated more towards the Texas/Louisiana border region. These rains may cause widespread destructive flooding. Rainfall amounts of 2-3 inches have already occurred along the coast, from Freeport to just beyond the Louisiana border, as estimated by radar. Freeport may have had as much a five inches already.
The Beaumont Enterprise reports
Tropical Storm Humberto gathered steam as he rumbled toward the Southeast Texas coast late Wednesday night, and forecasters expect near-hurricane force winds when he makes landfall in the wee hours Thursday morning.

Tuesday, September 11, 2007

Seamless!
We've read that if the owner of our mortgages goes bankrupt, there will be no effect on the homeowner. We just make our mortgage payments to the new mortgage holder. Seamless!

Well, the WSJ offers a different take. Thousands of homeowners face an "imminent risk" of losing their homes because American Home, for example, collected our payments for principal, interest, taxes and insurance, but failed to make the payments to keep our insurance in force and failed to pay the property taxes.

"Therefore, there is the imminent risk that borrowers' insurance policies may lapse for nonpayment, subjecting the borrowers to a risk of loss of their mortgaged properties," Freddie Mac said
Then there's the situation in which the new mortgage owner receives our paperwork from the previous owner, now bankrupt.
"Payments are being deemed late, even when they're not, because they can't catch up with the paper." The result is additional insurance costs and accumulating late fees.
I am not in favor of the government helping out those who willingly took out 1% adjustable mortgages and now find the payments have adjusted to reality, nor those who took out 110% loans and find they have negative equity. I do believe the feds owe their full faith and credit to make sure we don't lose our homes or insurance protection when we have been diligent.

Hedge Funds Halt Redemptions
Hat tip to Jim Sinclair's Mineset:London Hedge Fund Halts Redemptions. Wharton Asset Management Fund (WAMF)
which focuses on asset-backed securities investments, was down 30% in June and July. Another Wharton fund, Trio Finance—which specializes in real estate ABS—is down 46% this year
The WSJ reports WAMF
...has stopped trying to calculate the net asset value.

[...]

The fund was heavily leveraged. By design, it can borrow as much as 20 times its own money to buy investments.

Bloomberg reports
Managers of asset-backed funds "could be in a lot of pain over the next few months," said John Godden, head of London- based IGS Group, which invests in hedge funds. "There are no decent valuations on any of this stuff."
Bloomberg also note that PIRATE Capital Fund has halted redemptions "in the wake of an 80% decline in the firm's assets under management in the past year."

Imagine, you own assets in your hedge fund, that can be levereged 20 to 1 and you can't determine the values.

They're Back!
The NY Post reports that Countrywide (CFC) Seeks 2nd Bailout. They have already raised $11.5 Billion by tapping their credit line with 40 banks, then another $2 Billion from a preferred offering to Bank of America. Now they need more!
Countrywide Financial Corp. is putting together another multi-billion dollar bailout plan as the nation's largest home lender continues to struggle amid the global credit crunch and declines in the housing market, The Post has learned.
Dave in Denver writing in a note to Bill Murphy at Le Metropole Cafe (You really must try their free trial) analysed the balance sheet of CFC and found this item interesting: Securities sold under agreements to repurchase and federal funds purchased: $46.1 billion (here's a link to the CFC balance sheet pdf). This item was $32.6 Billion in March of 2006.

Quoting Dave,

I discovered that particular balance sheet account is essentially mortgage assets held by Countrywide, mostly "for sale" (i.e. to be sold into the asset backed market which is no longer functioning), and is financed by short term commercial paper, which needs to be rolled over if Countrywide can't get the mortgages sold. In effect, the $13.5 billion (11.5 bank plus 2 billion preferred) financed a portion of the above $46.1 billion. So, in reality, Countrywide ultimately needs close to another $33 billion in financing to replace the financing behind the above mortgages (assume they sold off some before the mortgage market collapsed as that number is as of 6/30 quarter end).
Countrywide appears to be in a tough spot! Countrywide's chief executive Angelo Mozilo, who announced plans last week to eliminate as many as 12,000 jobs, said, "The issues the economy is facing are worse than most people believe."

Don't worry about Mozilo, though. He's okay. He sold CFC stock that netted him over $500,000,000. The boys at Enron were such pikers.

Just three months ago the stock was almost $40 per share.

Update:

Crude At Record High

The Wall Street Journal reports

Crude-oil futures rose to a record high settlement, shrugging off a planned boost in oil production from OPEC as traders focused on depleting U.S. oil inventories and signs demand may increase. The front-month October light, sweet crude contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose 74 cents, or 1%, to $78.23 a barrel, the highest-ever settlement for a front-month contract.
Oregon Sisters' Quake
First Maupin, then Bend, now the Three Sisters area:

map 1.9 2007/09/10 18:42:38 44.092N 121.878W 0.0 34 km (21 mi) SW of Sisters, OR

Blogs For Borders Video Blogburst
Mexican trucks roll over our Southern border, can our government control this? Is it safe? Are Americans at risk?

100% Preventable!

The Dem. Prez debates in Spanish.

And a small remembrance of 9-11

You can vote for us in the Blogger's Choice Awards here.

Outraged Patriots billboard vandalized!  Help put the next one up...here.

This has been the Blogs For Borders Video Blogburst. The Blogs For Borders Blogroll is dedicated to American sovereignty, border security and a sane immigration policy. If you'd like to join find out how right here.

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Never Forget.!
UPDATE:Texas Fred's has has a list going of blogs that have posted about 9/11 and "Never Forget" See what others want to remember.

Bev and I were in bed when our neighbor Carol Sutton called about 8:10 AM and said, "Go to your television right now!" We did and saw one of the NY World Trade Center buildings was billowing smoke from up near the top.

We learned that 10,000 people work in the two towers, the first thing any one looking at the skyline sees. Two pristine square towers, over 110 stories, that defined the wall street area.

Suddenly, from the right a plane appeared and crashed into the second tower spewing flames from the opposite side of the building. Two maimed beasts on fire seemingly in agony. We watched horrified as rescue vehicles screamed to the disaster. By this time we knew that the U.S. had been attacked. Then, while fire fighters tried to staunch the flames and lead WTC workers from all over the world to safety, one tower seemed to fold in on itself and pancake to its death. Who among us would not cry for the lives lost? Within a half hour, without precedent, the other tower collapsed like the first.

Bev and I thought about friends of ours who lived in NY and acquaintances who I'd worked with and prayed that they were safe.

The world changed that day. Suddenly we were vulnerable to evil that believes it okay to kill the innocent as part of their campaign. Bev and I will never forget 9/11.

Michelle Malkin has made this an issue in many ways. Check out her post on 9/11.

Update:

Monday, September 10, 2007

Vote For Mover Mike, Update
Yesterday, I posted about the contest at Blog Interviewer.com, where "Every month the top three rated blogs win cash!" I asked you to vote for Mover Mike. The most popular blog wins $25 and I offered to match whatever we won and donate it to Golden Bond Rescue of Oregon. Here's an update, 9 out of 10 votes have been in favor. Based on last months winner, we need 50 votes to place in the top three. So vote every 24 hours and vote for Golden Retrievers.

This is Huckleberry, just one of a future pal to somebody who is up for adoption:

I can't tell you about my past. I was a stray. When I came into Golden Bond, I weighed 40 pounds. I had open, bleeding sores from an extreme case of mange. I also had hip dysplasia. After hip surgeries in both hips, and with the help of physical therapy, I can walk, run, and jump with ease.

[...]

I am an affectionate puppy who loves to please. I am smart and a playful boy who is looking for a loving forever family.

These dogs just grab my heart and won't let go.

Two Quakes Near Maupin
map 1.2 2007/09/10 08:29:33 45.128N 120.935W 16.5 13 km ( 8 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

map 1.4 2007/09/10 07:29:21 45.119N 120.926W 16.4 14 km ( 9 mi) ESE of Maupin, OR

The puzzling thing about the quakes, the epicenters are rarely the same. The quakes basically occur in the same general area, a four square mile area (in the maps squares 21 and 22 and 28 and 27) bisected by Deep Creek.

Hillary Giving back $850,000
Wow, the blog that broke the story, Suitably Flip had Hillary getting $174,000 and the total from Norman Hsu to all Democrats to be about $1.6 Million. Now Hillary's total is almost five times what was estimated! (Hat Tip to Drudge!) In Hillary Clinton's case, that's the difference between giving up $23,600 (which she's agreed to do) and $174,000.
(Actually, her grand total is now a ways north of $174k and still climbing, but I haven't had a chance to error-check, format, and post the newest data update yet.) All told, Hsu's suspicious bundling more than doubles the aggregate sketchy funds, from $787 thousand to $1.6 million (and rising).
Terrorists Among Us?

Hamid Hayat

Back in Sept., 2005, I wrote about terrorists in Lodi, California, The SacBee just reported

A federal judge on Monday sentenced Hamid Hayat, a 24-year-old Lodi cherry packer, to 24 years in prison for his conviction on charges that he underwent terrorist training in Pakistan and then returned to Lodi prepared to wage holy war against fellow Americans

Update:

Norman Hsu Freaked Out
Fugitive political fundraiser Norman Hsu was behaving erratically as he fled the Bay Area on Amtrak's California Zephyr, at one point stripping off his shirt and shoes, before paramedics were called to take him off the train in western Colorado, passengers said Friday. You don't suppose someone slipped him some psychedelic mushrooms, do you?

Hsu boarded the train in Emeryville about 7 a.m. Wednesday, Amtrak said, two hours before he was to have appeared in a Redwood City courtroom in connection with his grand theft conviction. He had touched down earlier that morning on a charter jet flight to Oakland, his lawyer told prosecutors. Amtrak said he boarded the Zephyr with a ticket for Denver.
The Guide Shop Burns!

A harder working couple, you'll never meet, Marilyn and Pete Peterson lost The Guide Shop to fire late Friday night writes Bill Monroe in Wilson River loses landmark

The Guide Shop, a popular and familiar landmark at the throat of the Wilson River Canyon east of Tillamook, burned to the ground late Friday.

Its shaken owners, Marilyn and Charles "Pete" Peterson of St. Helens, said Sunday they don't know what they'll do. Pete Peterson is a former fishing guide who gave up his guide service a few years ago to buy the shop.

I met Pete and Marilyn a lifetime ago, when I was a stockbroker. I don't recall making much of a monetary impact on their lives, but I knew they worked hard and loved their little girl who suffered with Down's syndrome. Pete would work on the Wilson River, then take that long drive into Portland to sit up high in a crane unloading barges of sand for Ross Island Sand and Gravel. I asked him many times how he could survive on such little sleep. But he had a dream, he loved his family, and to him it was worth it.
"This was the start of our peak season," said Marilyn Peterson. "I just don't know what we're going to do. First of all, I've got some major issues with debris removal and a loan coming due in just a few days. I don't know how we'll take that next step."

Update:

Sunday, September 9, 2007

USAF Captain John Frueh

What the hell happened?

From WatchCat:

USAF Captain John Frueh was supposed to attend the wedding of a friend in Portland on Sunday and then return home to Florida on Monday. He never made it to the wedding as planned. His last cell phone call was traced to Vancouver, Washington, but nothing has been heard since.

Call Portland police with any information at 503-823-0400.

OregonLive just reported about three hours ago:
Skamania County law enforcement personnel recovered the body of U.S. Air Force Capt. John Frueh late Saturday night.

Frueh, 33, of Florida, had been missing since Aug. 30, when he last spoke with family before renting a car at Portland International Airport. He had come to Portland Aug. 25 for the wedding of a lifelong friend.

Skamania County personnel found Frueh's rental car earlier in the day and began searching for Frueh.

Update:

Vote For Mover Mike
I have granted an interview to Blog Interviewer.com. You can read the interview here. They have a contest, the top three rated blogs for the month will be awarded:

1st Place $25
2nd Place $15
3rd Place $10

Voting is free and you can vote every 24 hours.

To make it interesting vote for Mover Mike and if we win I will match the prize and donate the money to Golden Bond Rescue of Oregon.

Golden Bond Rescue of Oregon, Inc. grew out of one woman's passion for the plight of abandoned and homeless dogs in 1990. Having learned about canine rescues from the Golden Retriever Club of America, Jennifer searched in vain for an organization she could help in Oregon. To her dismay, the nearest golden retriever rescue was in Seattle.
We acquired Ralph from Golden Bond over two years ago after our Golder, Amber, died at eight years old from lung cancer. Ralph is just a great big, goofy,dog that has found a place in our hearts. So vote for Mover Mike and vote for Golden Bond.

Saturday, September 8, 2007

Web of Debt
I just ordered the book Web of Debt by Ellen Hodgson Brown J.D. after reading her article at Le Metropole Cafe (free trials available here) entitled FINANCIAL MELTDOWN: THE END OF A 300 YEAR PONZI SCHEME. She writes that in the recent crisis with hedge funds over sub-primes, the central banks created out of thin air, over $300 Billion. To put that amount of money into perspective, it would take a mere $188 Billion "to repair all of the 74,000 U.S. bridges known to be defective, preventing another disaster like that in Minneapolis in July." How did we get into these problems?
Before 1913, multiple private banks issued banknotes with their own names on them; and as in England, the banks issued notes for much more gold than was in their vaults. The scheme worked until the customers got suspicious and all demanded their gold at once, when there would be a "run" on the banks and they would have to close their doors.
A cartel of banks persuaded Congress to establish the Federal Reserve in 1913
The Federal Reserve (or "Fed") was instituted to rescue the banks from these crises by creating and lending money on demand. The banks themselves were already creating money out of nothing, but the Fed served as a backup source, generating the customer confidence necessary to carry on the fractional-reserve lending scheme.
The central bank rescued the its member buddies after the credit bubble they produced came crashing down.

Brown writes that today what we think of as money, coins and paper currency, amounts to 3% of the total money supply. "The rest is created by commercial banks as loans."

Among other problems with this system of money creation is that banks create the principal but not the interest necessary to pay back their loans; and that is where the Ponzi scheme comes in.
In our credit based economy, you need more and more borrowers to pay the interest. You even help those unqualified to borrow with 110 percent home loans. Brown writes before 1933 when we went off the gold standard, dollar backing with gold tended to limit the expansion of the money supply. Since then the FED has created bubble after bubble. When one collapses, the solution is to bail out the banks which creates another bubble. Brown writes
...we simply cannot afford the bank bailouts coming down the pike. If it takes $300 billion to avert a market collapse precipitated by a few failing hedge funds, what will the price tag be when the $400-plus trillion derivatives bubble collapses?
Our Constitution says
Article I, Section 8, Clause 5. The Congress shall have Power…To coin Money, regulate the Value thereof, and of foreign Coin, and fix the Standard of Weights and Measures.
It doesn't say anything about a cartel of bankers. It is way past time to take our power back!

Friday, September 7, 2007

The Next Bubble
If you were long stocks and long the USD it was not a good day. The DJIA finished down 249.97 and the USD Index finished at 79.96! That's the lowest USD close ever (if you know a lower close let me know).

The Current Crisis Posted On: Friday, September 07, 2007, 4:32:00 PM EST by Monty Guild is a very provocative read. Guild writes that the role of the banks has been to provide short-term financing to businesses, you know, to fund cash flow needs. Then companies started self funding by issuing commercial paper. Now that market has locked up. There is little appetite for that paper and short term yields like the LIBOR rate are higher than Fed Funds and Treasuries. In addition, the banks are trying to get their business back by husbanding liquidity. Guild writes,

Banks know they are going to have to keep their customers operating without the commercial paper market so they are hoarding capital to do that.

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR THE WORLD MARKETS IS THAT A FLOOD OF LIQUIDITY IS COMING

The Federal Reserve and all other central banks will make capital available through the discount rate and other mechanisms allowed to provide liquidity short term and long term to banks. Central banks have become increasingly pressured by political events and that pressure will cause them to create a huge liquidity response to the current crisis.

In 2000 the high tech bubble created by the FED deflated. The FED created the liquidity needed, but a new bubble was created, Real Estate. Now that bubble is deflating, but the new liquidity will have to go somewhere. All that excess liquidity sends the value of the USD lower. So where does the smart money go to protect themselves?

Monty Guild writes,

In the short term there will be a recession in the US and world economic growth will slow from its current torrid pace to a moderate pace. The long term effect is more bubbles in many asset classes; gold, other precious metals, some well managed non-US currencies, commodities and probably stocks in fast growing sectors of the world.
Get smart! Don't wait until the MSM media writes glowing stories about the killings investors are making in the next bubble. Do some homework and position yourself today.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Alan Greenspan Blows!
  2. Web of Debt
  3. The Next Bubble
Glenn Beck Interviews Giuliani
Glenn Beck conducted an interview with Rudolph Giuliani. You can read the transcript yourself, here. A couple of things popped out for me. Initially I was attracted to the interview by this exchange:
GLENN: Right. But isn't illegal immigration a crime in and of itself?

GIULIANI: Glenn, it's not a crime. I know that's very hard for people to understand, but it's not a federal crime.

GLENN: It's a misdemeanor but if you've been nailed, it is a crime. If you've been nailed, ship back and come back, it is a crime.

GIULIANI: Glenn, being an illegal immigrant, the 400,000 were not prosecuted for crimes by the federal government, nor could they be. I was U.S. attorney in the southern district of New York. So believe me, I know this. In fact, when you throw an immigrant out of the country, it's not a criminal proceeding. It's a civil proceeding.

GLENN: Is it --

GIULIANI: One of the things that congress wanted to do a year ago is to make it a crime, which indicates that it isn't.

GLENN: Should it be?

GIULIANI: Should it be? No, it shouldn't be because the government wouldn't be able to prosecute it. We couldn't prosecute 12 million people. We have only 2 million people in jail right now for all the crimes that are committed in the country, 2.5 million. If you were to make it a crime, you would have to take the resources of the criminal justice system and increase it by about 6. In other words, you'd have to take all the 800,000 police, and who knows how many police we would have to have.

So if it is not a federal crime, why do we call them illegal aliens? Seems the federal government, then, is acting illegally by not protecting the borders. Basically, I liked what Giuliani had to say about the Islamist threat to the safety of this country. He realizes that we are under attack, but we part company on the role of the FED. Here's what he said:
GIULIANI: To a very large extend, that's correct, particularly from the point of view of the federal government and the President. The President has to focus on the pillars of our economy and make sure that those are being handled correctly and if they are, the market will straighten out the rest. The pillars of our economy are low taxes, smaller government, moderate regulation, and a sound monetary policy. So on this question of how much help should the market in general be given, that should really be determined by the Fed through the supply of money, and they have shown that they can do a pretty darn good job of that. That should not be the function of the congress and the President. (my emphasis added)
The Constitution gave the power over the creation of money only to Congress and even defined money in subsequent legislation. Then in 1913, Congress gave away that power by creating the Federal Reserve, a cartel of banks, and since then, the hidden tax of inflation the FED created has deflated the value of the USD by over 95%.

What is a cartel? Google defines the word as:

  1. A group of producers who enter a collusive agreement to restrict output in order to raise prices and profits
  2. An organization of producers that work together to maximize joint profits.
  3. a group of firms formally agreeing to control the price and output of a product
Maybe Giuliani is economically naive. Maybe, he is Bush light. Could even be Bush dark! We know there is no hope from the statists on the Democrat side. Please, can we find a Libertarian, that is electable on the Republican side?

Across The Columbia
map 1.3 2007/09/06 14:57:30 47.711N 120.112W 0.0 8 km ( 5 mi) NNW of Waterville, WA

Norman Hsu is one of the "Hillraisers"
Michelle Malkin allerts us to the latest news about Norman Hsu, arrested in Grand Junction, CO., sick. (Was it suicide or was he poisoned?) Meantime at 12:19 PDT, Hillary's campaign site still has Norman Hse listed as one of the "Hillraisers."

USD Down, Yields Down, Gold UP!
For two days the USDJPY (see chart) traded in a narrow range 115 50 115.5 and in a shocking development, the yen has gotten very strong versus the USD and we are now sitting at 113.8, a big two hour drop. Gold has traded up over $700, currently at $704.60 and the 10-year treasury has popped so that the yield is a low 4.41%.

What does it mean?

Update:

Apparently investors didn't like the jobs numbers. Bloomberg writes:
The U.S. economy unexpectedly lost jobs in August for the first time in four years, increasing speculation that the Federal Reserve will have to reduce interest rates to counter an economic slowdown.

Update:

DJIA opens down big -140. Ian Shepherdson, High Frequency Economics quoted in the WSJ:
Temp hiring fell again, signalling (sic)further broad payroll weakness ahead. One number is not a trend but this will scare the Fed; they will ease [a quarter percentage point] on 9/18 but should ease [a half percentage point]. Remember this report does not fully reflect the market turmoil; worse to come.
Predictions of FED easement should be good right? Wrong! This means the FED was bluffing about fighting inflation. Now they will say to hell with that, we must fight an economy going south. Inflationary and good for Gold, and bad for USD.

Thursday, September 6, 2007

Norman Hsu Found And Arrested

From the WSJ

Democratic fund-raiser Norman Hsu was arrested in Colorado late Thursday after a judge issued an arrest warrant when he failed to show up for a court appearance related to a felony theft conviction.
Gold is back in favor!
That is one beautiful weekly chart:

The Gold Continuous Contract