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Mover Mike

Mike is a retired stock broker, and now supports his wife's furniture business. He is her warehouseman, deluxer, and marketing guru. In addition, he writes poetry and finds abundance, health and joy in the world around him while pondering life's little mysteries

Predictions for 2006
Regime Change Iran reported Friday:
During his recent visit to Ankara, CIA Director Porter Goss reportedly brought three dossiers on Iran to Ankara. Goss is said to have asked for Turkey’s support for Washington’s policy against Iran’s nuclear activities, charging that Tehran had supported terrorism and taken part in activities against Turkey.

Goss also asked Ankara to be ready for a possible US air operation against Iran and Syria.

So with that in mind, I predict the following for 2006:

Gold will go to $750 per ounce. It closed on Friday at $516.60.

Silver will go to $13 per ounce. It closed on Friday at $8.80.

Oil will trade at $75 per barrel or higher. It closed on Friday at $61.

The Dow Jones Average will hit 9000. It closed the year at 10,717.50.

Israel will attack Iran's nuclear facilities.

Munich will be named best picture at Academy Awards.

Thank you for visting Mover Mike in 2005. May your 2006 be filled with health, good family memories and a pet that loves you unconditionally.

Abramoff and Schumpeter
I have commented several times about Jack Abramoff, but I figured the latest news was better covered by the MSM. One thing we should be aware of is that this is not just a Republican scandal, as much as many of you would like. This is a scandal on politics in general. When you give money to a candidate, initially you want to have someone in office who believes as you do and will vote to support your interests. That has been corrupted to a quid pro quo; you want someone in there that will help you with your financial interests. Maybe it has always been this way.

In the Washington Times article about Abramoff, I was struck by these paragraphs:

Lobbyist Jack Abramoff pleaded guilty yesterday in federal court to charges of conspiracy, tax evasion and mail fraud, agreeing to cooperate in an ongoing investigation into influence peddling on Capitol Hill.

Abramoff admitted to U.S. District Judge Ellen Segal Huvelle he had taken part in a scheme involving the "corruption of public officials," saying he gave campaign contributions and funded lavish trips and other items "in exchange for certain official acts."

We go through periodic convulsions that clean out the system and put the "cold sweats" into a politician for a while. That's good! We need to tear things down once in a while, so we can build a stronger structure. That goes for the stock market and that goes for the economy, too.

Joseph Schumpeter said it best:

...industrial mutation–if I may use that biological term–that incessantly revolutionizes the economic structure from within, incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one. This process of Creative Destruction is the essential fact about capitalism. It is what capitalism consists in and what every capitalist concern has got to live in... .
The boom in the economy started in 1974 and with a few corrections, continued until about 2001. And all the while we built in many problems that needed small corrections and without those small corrections, now need massive corrections; things like debt build-up, derivatives, the many bubbles, size of government. I am an optimist that what will come from the creative destruction will be better for our grandchildren, but I am a pessimist about the near term.

Update: They Call Me Vonski echos my comments and lists some of both parties involved with Abramoff.

Update: Blue Oregon echos my belief that Abramoff will bring about change.

More 2006 predictions
You have my predictions for 2006 here. New Years eve we got together with friends for dinner and I asked the five for their predictions. This time next year I will check back to see how we did. Two of my friends I would say are liberal, registering voters especially Democrats for Kerry, two probably could care less and the fifth is a conservative though she doesn't know it.

Jerry predicts:
The DJIA will go to a new all time high (above 12,000)
USC will be #1 again
Abramoff will bring down Delay and many Republicans (hopefully Bush)
A date will be set for Iraq withdrawal
Britney and Federline will split-up
Brokeback Mountain will be panned at Oscars
There will be no "Rapture" in 2006

Sandy predicts:
The DJIA will go to a new all time high (above 12,000)
Abramoff will bring down Delay and many Republicans (hopefully Bush)
Another scandal in the White House (does Abramoff count on this?)
A date will be set for Iraq withdrawal
Prince Charles will be King
Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes will split
The Star (at the supermarket) will be the #1 news organization
***Pat Robertson will say another stupid thing***

Marsha predicts:
The DJIA not only will go to an all time high, but the last trade of the year will be at an all time high
Gold will trade over $600
She will be gifted $100,000
Brad and Angie will marry and have a baby (or have a baby and get married - not sure of the order)
Someone will write a book that will knock our socks off creating a "bookdemic"

Darryl predicts:
Marsha will be gifted $200,000
Local artist Carol Turner will be acclaimed a major sculptress

Beverly predicts:
Blazers will make the playoffs
The "big one" will take place in California
Cheney will resign for health reasons and Condi Rice will be appointed

Additional Mover Mike predictions:
Brad and Angie will split
Marsha will write a cookbook in 2006
USD falls below 80!
People of the US will know "Who is Dennis Hastert?"

Update:

Deficit for December Up $78 Bullion!
The cumulative federal deficit is a stunner:

12/30/2005 $8,170,424,541,313.62
11/30/2005 $8,092,322,205,720.65

That is an increase of $78 Billion in one month! That's an annualized deficit of $936 Billion. How much of that is interest on interest?

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Deficit for December Up $78 Bullion!
  2. More 2006 predictions
  3. Abramoff and Schumpeter
  4. Predictions for 2006